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While college readiness continues to dominate the educational landscape in the United States, students still leave high school not ready for college. As a consequence, admissions officers need to consider all available indicators (e.g., high school performance, admissions test scores, college preparatory courses) in order to effectively evaluate prospective student applications. Predictive validity studies are one of the inherent mechanisms in the admission process and can be used to predict college performance and success. These studies ultimately are guided by the availability of data, which can be challenging to identify and procure. Although predictive validity research has played an important role in informing admissions policy in recent years, few published works appear to include a full, informative account of its role in helping to establish college readiness and the importance of identifying different sources of data for doing so. This paper aims to fill that gap, bringing together a detailed explanation of the role of predictive validity studies to investigate college readiness and success and the identification of “fit-for-purpose” data to carry out such studies and inform postsecondary admissions policy and decisions.

shaw@2xStuart Shaw is the Principal Research Officer for Cambridge Assessment International Education, Cambridge Assessment. Before leading a research team in the area of mainstream international examinations, Shaw worked on a range of Cambridge English products with specific skill responsibilities for writing. He is particularly interested in demonstrating how Cambridge Assessment seeks to meet the demands of validity in its tests.

rodeiro@2xCarmen Vidal Rodeiro is a Senior Research Officer at Cambridge Assessment. Her main areas of interests include subject provision and uptake in schools and colleges, comparability of standards in high-stakes examinations, progression routes and predictors of university participation, and success both in the UK and internationally. She has a Ph.D. in statistics from the University of Aberdeen.

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